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J Korean Med Sci. 2024;39(47):e306.

Risk of Death From Various Causes According to Prevalent Atrial Fibrillation: A Nationwide Population-Based Study.

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제1저자 김영관, 이소령 · 교신저자 최의근

소속 (7)
  1. Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul, Korea.
  2. Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.
  3. Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea. choiek17@snu.ac.kr.
  4. Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul Metropolitan Government-Seoul National University Boramae Medical Center, Seoul, Korea.
  5. Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, Soongsil University, Seoul, Korea.
  6. Liverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science at University of Liverpool, Liverpool John Moores University and Liverpool Chest & Heart Hospital, Liverpool, United Kingdom.
  7. Department of Clinical Medicine, Aalborg University, Aalborg, Denmark.

Abstract

BACKGROUND Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with increased risks of adverse events including stroke and all-cause death. Understanding the pattern of causes of death (COD) with the relative risks in patients with AF compared to the non-AF population is essential in planning optimal care for patients with AF. We aimed to analyze the COD and its relative risks in patients with AF, using a nationwide population-based cohort.

METHODS Using the Korean nationwide claims database, people aged 40 or older who received health examinations in 2009 were included if they had no missing values (n = 6,877,929). In total the study included 40,585 people with AF and 6,837,344 without AF. COD was defined by International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-10-CM) diagnostic codes. Comparison between the AF and non-AF groups was performed with Multivariate Cox proportional regression model.

RESULTS In the AF group, cardiovascular diseases were the most common COD, causing 39.8% of all deaths, compared with 19.0% for non-AF subjects. The AF group was associated with a higher risk of death from cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases by almost 3-fold than the matched non-AF group (hazard ratios [HR], 3.082; 95% confidence intervals [CIs], 2.963-3.205 for cardiovascular diseases; HR, 2.981; 95% CI, 2.799-3.175 for cerebrovascular diseases, all P < 0.001). Among patients with AF, the risks of all-cause, cardiovascular, and cerebrovascular death were well-stratified by CHA₂DS₂-VASc scores. The risk of cerebrovascular death was 11 times higher among patients with a CHA₂DS₂-VASc score ≥ 7.

CONCLUSION Compared to non-AF individuals, patients with AF had a higher risk of death from cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases, and the mortality risks were well-stratified by the CHA₂DS₂-VASc score. Integrated care management of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases for patients with AF might help mitigate mortality.

© 2024 The Korean Academy of Medical Sciences.

Keywords

Atrial FibrillationCHA₂DS₂-VASc ScoreCause of DeathKoreaPopulation-Based Study

Figures

Fig. 1
Fig. 1 Flow chart of the study population. AF = atrial fibrillation.
Fig. 2
Fig. 2 Proportion of various causes of death in AF and non-AF group. (A) Before age, sex matching. (B) After 5:1 age, sex matching. The letters on the right column each stand for International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification codes which are described on Supplementary Table 2. AF = atrial fibrillation.
Fig. 3
Fig. 3 Incidence rate and hazard ratio of each cause of death (after 5:1 age, sex matching). AF = atrial fibrillation, CI = confidence interval, IR = incidence rate. aAge, sex, level of smoking, level of alcohol consumption, regular physical activities, diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia, chronic kidney disease, cancer history, depression, ischemic heart disease, stroke adjusted.
Fig. 4
Fig. 4 Cumulative incidence of all-cause death and proportion of cardiovascular, cerebrovascular deaths according to CHA2DS2-VASc score (total population, male, female).
Fig. 5
Fig. 5 Incidence rate and adjusted hazard ratio of all-cause, cardiovascular, and cerebrovascular deaths according to CHA2DS2-VASc score (Total population, male, female). CI = confidence interval, IR = incidence rate. aAge, sex, level of smoking, level of alcohol consumption, regular physical activities.

그림 출처: PubMed Central 공개 논문 (PMC11628238)

Conflict of interest statement

Young-Kwan Kim, So-Ryoung Lee, Hyun Jin Ahn, Nan Young Bae, Kyung-Yeon Lee, JungMin Choi, Hyo-Jeong Ahn, Soonil Kwon, Kyungdo Han, Seil Oh: nothing to disclose.

그 밖의 정보
출판 형태
Journal Article
저널
Journal of Korean medical science · eISSN 1598-6357
전자 출판
2024-12-09
MeSH
Humans · Atrial Fibrillation* / mortality / complications · Female · Male · Aged · Middle Aged · Republic of Korea / epidemiology · Proportional Hazards Models* · Databases, Factual* · Cause of Death* · Risk Factors · Adult · Cardiovascular Diseases / mortality · Aged, 80 and over · Cerebrovascular Disorders / mortality · Prevalence · Cohort Studies · Stroke / mortality
연구비
Ministry of Health and Welfare RS-2021-KH119931 · National Research Foundation of Korea RS-2024-00340590
참고문헌
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