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SCI 발표논문

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Resuscitation. 2021;163:78-85.

A multicentre validation study of the deep learning-based early warning score for predicting in-hospital cardiac arrest in patients admitted to general wards.

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제1저자 이연주, 조경재 · 교신저자 조유한

소속 (8)
  1. Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Gyeonggi-do, Republic of Korea.
  2. VUNO, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
  3. Department of Critical Care and Emergency Medicine, Mediplex Sejong Hospital, Incheon, Republic of Korea.
  4. Division of Cardiology, Cardiovascular Center, Mediplex Sejong Hospital, Incheon, Republic of Korea.
  5. Division of Critical Care Medicine, Department of Hospital Medicine, Inha College of Medicine, Incheon, Republic of Korea.
  6. Department of Critical Care Medicine, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
  7. Department of Critical Care Medicine, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea; Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Medicine, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
  8. Department of Emergency Medicine, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Gyeonggi-do, Republic of Korea; Department of Emergency Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea. Electronic address: emdrjyh@gmail.com.

Abstract

BACKGROUND The recently developed deep learning (DL)-based early warning score (DEWS) has shown potential in predicting deteriorating patients. We aimed to validate DEWS in multiple centres and compare the prediction, alarming and timeliness performance with the modified early warning score (MEWS) to identify patients at risk for in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA).

METHOD/RESEARCH DESIGN This retrospective cohort study included adult patients admitted to the general wards of five hospitals during a 12-month period. The occurrence of IHCA within 24 h of vital sign observation was the outcome of interest. We assessed the discrimination using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC).

RESULTS The study population consists of 173,368 patients (224 IHCAs). The predictive performance of DEWS was superior to that of MEWS in both the internal (AUROC: 0.860 vs. 0.754, respectively) and external (AUROC: 0.905 vs. 0.785, respectively) validation cohorts. At the same specificity, DEWS had a higher sensitivity than MEWS, and at the same sensitivity, DEWS reduced the mean alarm count by nearly half of MEWS. Additionally, DEWS was able to predict more IHCA patients in the 24-0.5 h before the outcome, and DEWS was reasonably calibrated.

CONCLUSION Our study showed that DEWS was superior to MEWS in three key aspects (IHCA predictive, alarming, and timeliness performance). This study demonstrates the potential of DEWS as an effective, efficient screening tool in rapid response systems (RRSs) to identify high-risk patients.

Copyright © 2021 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Keywords

Artificial intelligenceCardiac arrestDeep learningEarly warning scorePredictionRapid response system

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출판 형태
Journal Article
저널
Resuscitation · eISSN 1873-1570
전자 출판
2021-04-22