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PLoS One. 2015;10(7):e0133935.

Diagnostic and Prognostic Values of Noninvasive Predictors of Portal Hypertension in Patients with Alcoholic Cirrhosis.

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제1저자 조은주, 김문영, 이정훈 · 교신저자 윤정환, 백순구

소속 (3)
  1. Department of Internal Medicine and Liver Research Institute, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.
  2. Department of Internal Medicine, Yonsei University Wonju College of Medicine, Wonju, Korea.
  3. Department of Internal Medicine, Kangwon National University Hospital, Chuncheon, Korea.

Abstract

Portal hypertension is a direct consequence of hepatic fibrosis, and several hepatic fibrosis markers have been evaluated as a noninvasive alternative to the detection of portal hypertension and esophageal varices. In the present study, we compared the diagnostic and prognostic values of the noninvasive fibrosis markers in patients with alcoholic cirrhosis. A total of 219 consecutive alcoholic cirrhosis patients were included. Biochemical scores and liver stiffness (LS) were compared with hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG). For the detection of clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH; HVPG≥10 mmHg) in compensated patients, LS and LS-spleen diameter to platelet ratio score (LSPS) showed significantly better performance with area under the curves (AUCs) of 0.85 and 0.82, respectively, than aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index, FIB-4, Forns' index, Lok index, (platelet count)2/[monocyte fraction (%) × segmented neutrophil fraction (%)], and platelet count-to-spleen diameter ratio (all P<0.001). However, for the detection of high-risk varices, none of the non-invasive tests showed reliable performance (AUCs of all investigated tests < 0.70). During a median follow-up period of 42.6 months, 46 patients with decompensated cirrhosis died. Lok index (hazard ratio [HR], 1.13; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.05-1.22; P = 0.001) and FIB-4 (HR, 1.06; 95% CI, 1.01-1.10; P = 0.009) were independently associated with all-cause death in decompensated patients. Among the tested noninvasive markers, only Lok index significantly improved discrimination function of MELD score in predicting overall survival. In conclusion, LS and LSPS most accurately predict CSPH in patients with compensated alcoholic cirrhosis. In the prediction of overall survival in decompensated patients, however, Lok index is an independent prognostic factor and improves the predictive performance of MELD score.

Figures

Fig 1
Fig 1 ROC curves of noninvaisve fibrosis tests for the detection of clinically significant portal hypertension in compensated patients. The AUCs of LS (0.85; 95% CI, 0.74–0.95) and LSPS (0.82; 95% CI, 0.71–0.93) were significantly higher than those of other noninvasive markers (all P<0.001).

그림 출처: PubMed Central 공개 논문 (PMC4511411)

Conflict of interest statement

Competing Interests:The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.

그 밖의 정보
출판 형태
Journal Article, Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
저널
PloS one · eISSN 1932-6203
전자 출판
2015-07-21
MeSH
Adult · Biomarkers / blood · Blood Cells / cytology · Blood Chemical Analysis · Fibrosis · Humans · Hypertension, Portal / complications / diagnosis · Liver / pathology · Liver Cirrhosis, Alcoholic / complications / diagnosis · Male · Middle Aged · Spleen / pathology
Substances
Biomarkers
참고문헌
32편