J Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2016;31(2):427-33.
Characterization of acute-on-chronic liver failure and prediction of mortality in Asian patients with active alcoholism.
제1저자 김수환, 김병관 · 교신저자 김원
소속 (4)
- Departments of Internal Medicine, Seoul Metropolitan Government - Seoul National University Boramae Medical Center, Seoul, Korea.
- Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul, Korea.
- Department of Biostatistics, Seoul Metropolitan Government - Seoul National University Boramae Medical Center.
- Department of Internal Medicine, Healthcare Research Institute, Seoul National University Hospital Healthcare System Gangnam Center, Seoul, Korea.
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIMS Alcoholic liver diseases often evolve to acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), which increases the risk of (multi-)organ failure and death. We investigated the development and characteristics of alcohol-related ACLF and evaluated prognostic scores for prediction of mortality in Asian patients with active alcoholism.
METHODS A total of 205 patients who were hospitalized with severe alcoholic liver disease were included in this retrospective cohort study, after excluding those with serious cardiovascular diseases, malignancy, or co-existing viral hepatitis. The Chronic Liver Failure (CLIF) Consortium Organ Failure score was used in the diagnosis and grading of ACLF, and the CLIF Consortium ACLF score (CLIF-C ACLFs) was used to predict mortality.
RESULTS Patients with ACLF had higher Maddrey discriminant function, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD), and MELD-sodium scores than those without ACLF. Infections were more frequently documented in patients with ACLF (33.3% vs 53.0%; P = 0.004). Predictive factors for ACLF development were systemic inflammatory response syndrome (odds ratio [OR], 2.239; P < 0.001), serum sodium level (OR, 0.939; P = 0.029), and neutrophil count (OR, 1.000; P = 0.021). For prediction of mortality at predefined time points (28-day and 90-day) in patients with ACLF, areas under the receiver-operating characteristic were significantly greater for the CLIF-C ACLFs than for Child-Pugh, MELD, and MELD-sodium scores.
CONCLUSIONS Infection and systemic inflammatory response syndrome play an important role in the development of alcohol-related ACLF in Asian patients with active alcoholism. The CLIF-C ACLFs may be more useful for predicting mortality in ACLF cases than liver-specific scoring systems.
© 2015 Journal of Gastroenterology and Hepatology Foundation and John Wiley & Sons Australia, Ltd.
Keywords
acute-on-chronic liver failurealcoholic liver diseasemortalityprediction
그 밖의 정보
- 출판 형태
- Journal Article, Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
- 저널
- Journal of gastroenterology and hepatology · eISSN 1440-1746
- MeSH
- Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure / etiology / mortality · Adult · Alcoholism / complications · Asian People · Cohort Studies · Female · Forecasting · Humans · Liver Diseases, Alcoholic / etiology / mortality · Male · Middle Aged · Prognosis · Retrospective Studies · Risk · Risk Factors · Severity of Illness Index · Time Factors