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J Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2016;31(2):427-33.

Characterization of acute-on-chronic liver failure and prediction of mortality in Asian patients with active alcoholism.

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제1저자 김수환, 김병관 · 교신저자 김원

PMID 26260091 DOI 10.1111/jgh.13084 IF 3.5 소화기내과
소속 (4)
  1. Departments of Internal Medicine, Seoul Metropolitan Government - Seoul National University Boramae Medical Center, Seoul, Korea.
  2. Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul, Korea.
  3. Department of Biostatistics, Seoul Metropolitan Government - Seoul National University Boramae Medical Center.
  4. Department of Internal Medicine, Healthcare Research Institute, Seoul National University Hospital Healthcare System Gangnam Center, Seoul, Korea.

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND AIMS Alcoholic liver diseases often evolve to acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), which increases the risk of (multi-)organ failure and death. We investigated the development and characteristics of alcohol-related ACLF and evaluated prognostic scores for prediction of mortality in Asian patients with active alcoholism.

METHODS A total of 205 patients who were hospitalized with severe alcoholic liver disease were included in this retrospective cohort study, after excluding those with serious cardiovascular diseases, malignancy, or co-existing viral hepatitis. The Chronic Liver Failure (CLIF) Consortium Organ Failure score was used in the diagnosis and grading of ACLF, and the CLIF Consortium ACLF score (CLIF-C ACLFs) was used to predict mortality.

RESULTS Patients with ACLF had higher Maddrey discriminant function, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD), and MELD-sodium scores than those without ACLF. Infections were more frequently documented in patients with ACLF (33.3% vs 53.0%; P = 0.004). Predictive factors for ACLF development were systemic inflammatory response syndrome (odds ratio [OR], 2.239; P < 0.001), serum sodium level (OR, 0.939; P = 0.029), and neutrophil count (OR, 1.000; P = 0.021). For prediction of mortality at predefined time points (28-day and 90-day) in patients with ACLF, areas under the receiver-operating characteristic were significantly greater for the CLIF-C ACLFs than for Child-Pugh, MELD, and MELD-sodium scores.

CONCLUSIONS Infection and systemic inflammatory response syndrome play an important role in the development of alcohol-related ACLF in Asian patients with active alcoholism. The CLIF-C ACLFs may be more useful for predicting mortality in ACLF cases than liver-specific scoring systems.

© 2015 Journal of Gastroenterology and Hepatology Foundation and John Wiley & Sons Australia, Ltd.

Keywords

acute-on-chronic liver failurealcoholic liver diseasemortalityprediction

그 밖의 정보
출판 형태
Journal Article, Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
저널
Journal of gastroenterology and hepatology · eISSN 1440-1746
MeSH
Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure / etiology / mortality · Adult · Alcoholism / complications · Asian People · Cohort Studies · Female · Forecasting · Humans · Liver Diseases, Alcoholic / etiology / mortality · Male · Middle Aged · Prognosis · Retrospective Studies · Risk · Risk Factors · Severity of Illness Index · Time Factors